D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:16 PM EST

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to run on 49.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
The leading projections forecast D'Onta Foreman to notch 16.6 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
While D'Onta Foreman has been responsible for 41.6% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Chicago's rushing attack in this contest at 28.7%.
The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 3.65 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's group of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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