D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 9th-best in the league last year.
D'Onta Foreman has generated 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (80th percentile).

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast D'Onta Foreman to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack in this contest (22.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (39.6% in games he has played).
This year, the feeble Detroit Lions run defense has been gouged for a massive 3.82 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 29th-biggest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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