D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to earn 17.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (65.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.0% in games he has played).
D'Onta Foreman's rushing efficiency has improved this season, notching 5.08 yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.21 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
D'Onta Foreman has run for quite a few less yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).

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