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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.4% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to accrue 15.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (63.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).
  • D'Onta Foreman's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, averaging 5.04 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.21 rate last year.
  • D'Onta Foreman has been among the leading running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.63 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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