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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to accrue 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • D'Onta Foreman has garnered 44.9% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • D'Onta Foreman has picked up 58.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (79th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB Sam Darnold in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.4 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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