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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-165/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.3% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to earn 17.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (55.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (42.9% in games he has played).
  • D'Onta Foreman has generated 51.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (75th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to use backup QB Sam Darnold this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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