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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Panthers have been the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.4% run rate.

The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to total 12.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (54.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.7% in games he has played).

The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 92 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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