D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to garner 13.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (46.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.1% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
D'Onta Foreman has run for significantly fewer yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).
The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.