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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+163/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -222 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 46.5% red zone run rate.
  • D'Onta Foreman has garnered 54.9% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
  • D'Onta Foreman has run for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (78th percentile).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.74 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least TDs in football (0.54 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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