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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+122/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +163 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.7% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be much more involved in his team's run game near the goal line this week (69.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (57.5% in games he has played).
  • D'Onta Foreman has run for 0.36 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (81st percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in football (1.25 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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