D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-180).
Key Factors
Favors Over
D'Onta Foreman has garnered 48.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
D'Onta Foreman has rushed for 0.38 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (80th percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-most TDs in the NFL (1.22 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.