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D'Onta Foreman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to total 2.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his offense's pass game this week (8.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (1.4% in games he has played).The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.D'Onta Foreman has been among the bottom pass-game RBs this year, averaging a lowly 0.3 receptions per game while checking in at the 2nd percentile among running backs.
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