D'Onta Foreman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Onta Foreman has totaled a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
D'Onta Foreman's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 3.0.
D'Onta Foreman's 11.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a substantial improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 2.0 rate.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.87 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
With a bad 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (21st percentile) this year, D'Onta Foreman stands among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.
This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a puny 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 6th-best in football.

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