D'Onta Foreman Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects D'Onta Foreman to total 17.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
The projections expect D'Onta Foreman to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this game (24.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.4% in games he has played).
The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

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