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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.4% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to accrue 15.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (63.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).
  • The Atlanta Falcons linebackers project as the 8th-worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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