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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

D'Onta Foreman Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to accrue 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

D'Onta Foreman has garnered 44.9% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the 6th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB Sam Darnold in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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