Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 4:41 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-157/+117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Donovan Peoples-Jones to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this week (14.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.5% in games he has played).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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