Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, averaging 3.8 yards per game compared to a mere 2.7 last season.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 60.4% to 67.0%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 89.6% of snaps vs just 78.4% last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (60.1%) vs. wideouts this year (60.1%).

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