Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has put up a monstrous 73.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 51.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown bad efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, conceding 9.06 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Donovan Peoples-Jones to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this week (14.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.5% in games he has played).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.66 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.