Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Peoples-Jones has been on the field for 82.9% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this season, averaging 6.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 2.74 mark last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (69.5%) to WRs this year (69.5%).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has notched quite a few less air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 60.3% to 54.5%.