My Account Log Out

reorder

Donovan Peoples-Jones

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-103/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack performance when facing better conditions in this week's game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Donovan Peoples-Jones has run a route on 83.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

Donovan Peoples-Jones has accrued a colossal 61.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wide receivers.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 60.3% to 49.7%.

Donovan Peoples-Jones's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling just 5.31 yards-per-target vs a 9.45 figure last year.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the NFL.

More Donovan Peoples-Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™