Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has run a route on 88.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) vs. wideouts this year (61.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 7.09 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.

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