Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Donovan Peoples-Jones to notch 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has posted quite a few more air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
Donovan Peoples-Jones's 48.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 40.3.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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