Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-634).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -575 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -634.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (69.5%) to WRs this year (69.5%).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league to WRs: 1.50 per game this year.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has notched quite a few less air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 60.3% to 54.5%.
Donovan Peoples-Jones ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.