Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+299/-531).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -481 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -531.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has posted quite a few more air yards this year (77.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) vs. wideouts this year (61.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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