My Account Log Out

reorder

Donald Parham

Donald Parham Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Donald Parham Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

In this contest, Donald Parham is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.

While Donald Parham has been responsible for 7.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's passing offense in this game at 13.0%.

When it comes to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Green Bay's DT corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Donald Parham's 66.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys an impressive reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 83.6% mark.

More Donald Parham Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™