Donald Parham Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Donald Parham

NFL · Player Props

Donald Parham

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Donald Parham Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Donald Parham has put up many more air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (10.0 per game).

Favors Under

Donald Parham's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, totaling just 3.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.35 rate last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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