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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-148/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

D.K. Metcalf has run a route on 92.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The predictive model expects D.K. Metcalf to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

D.K. Metcalf's 5.4 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a substantial growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.3 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a meager 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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