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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a high 89.6% Route Participation Rate (85th percentile) since the start of last season, D.K. Metcalf ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect D.K. Metcalf to garner 7.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
  • D.K. Metcalf is positioned as one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.7%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.5 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New England's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

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