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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.

The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

With an exceptional 92.2% Route% (90th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf places among the WRs with the most usage in the league.

The predictive model expects D.K. Metcalf to total 8.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

D.K. Metcalf has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 59.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 25th percentile among wide receivers

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