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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, D.K. Metcalf is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.

D.K. Metcalf has been in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a massive 64.6 mark this year.

With a remarkable 5.0 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf rates among the top wide receivers in the league in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.4%) versus WRs this year (60.4%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks profile as the 7th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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