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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • In this contest, D.K. Metcalf is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.1 targets.
  • D.K. Metcalf's 64.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 91st percentile for WRs.
  • D.K. Metcalf checks in as one of the top WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 5.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • With a subpar 58.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.

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