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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, D.K. Metcalf is projected by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.

D.K. Metcalf's 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

D.K. Metcalf's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 61.1% to 55.8%.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.4%) to WRs this year (56.4%).

The 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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