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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects D.K. Metcalf to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

D.K. Metcalf rates in the 87th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a massive 61.6 figure last year.

D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the best wide receivers in the league last year, averaging an excellent 4.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Last year, the poor Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded a staggering 67.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-highest rate in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Denver's LB corps has been awful last year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are projected by the model to run only 62.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging just 54.6 plays per game.

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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