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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects D.K. Metcalf to earn 7.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

D.K. Metcalf comes in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (only 56.3 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.3 per game) this year.

D.K. Metcalf's 56.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 68.3.

This year, the formidable Browns defense has yielded a feeble 47.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the league.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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