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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, D.K. Metcalf is expected by the predictive model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets.
  • D.K. Metcalf has been in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 61.8 figure this year.
  • With a terrific 4.5 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf ranks among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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