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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The projections expect D.K. Metcalf to notch 7.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

D.K. Metcalf ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 64.1 figure this year.

D.K. Metcalf comes in as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) versus wide receivers this year (71.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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