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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.
  • At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • In this week's game, D.K. Metcalf is projected by the predictive model to land in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks this year (a measly 55.8 per game on average).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's unit has been great this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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