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DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to earn 9.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.DK Metcalf has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 27.2% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among wideouts.The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
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