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DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-120/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.D.K. Metcalf has run a route on 92.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.The predictive model expects D.K. Metcalf to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.With a stellar 73.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (91st percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf places as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.After totaling 102.0 air yards per game last year, D.K. Metcalf has gotten worse this year, currently averaging 97.0 per game.When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.D.K. Metcalf's 8.7 adjusted yards per target this year reflects an impressive decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 9.9 figure.
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