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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

D.K. Metcalf has run a route on 92.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The model projects D.K. Metcalf to total 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

As it relates to air yards, D.K. Metcalf ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling an impressive 104.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

D.K. Metcalf ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 58.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wide receivers

D.K. Metcalf's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, compiling just 8.53 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.90 figure last season.

D.K. Metcalf's 4.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a substantial drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.6% figure.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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