My Account Log Out

reorder

DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects D.K. Metcalf to notch 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a bad 58.8% Adjusted Catch% (24th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among WRs.

D.K. Metcalf's 8.6 adjusted yards per target this season reflects an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 9.9 rate.

D.K. Metcalf's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, accumulating a measly 4.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.56 rate last season.

This year, the fierce Packers defense has yielded a mere 128.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in football.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™