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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, D.K. Metcalf is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.

After totaling 102.0 air yards per game last season, D.K. Metcalf has seen marked improvement this season, now sitting at 115.0 per game.

D.K. Metcalf has been in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a massive 64.6 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

D.K. Metcalf's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating just 8.65 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.90 rate last season.

D.K. Metcalf's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, averaging a mere 4.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.56 figure last season.

The Jets defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 128.0) to wide receivers this year.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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