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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects D.K. Metcalf to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

D.K. Metcalf has accrued a monstrous 99.0 air yards per game last year: 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

D.K. Metcalf rates in the 87th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a massive 61.6 figure last year.

With a stellar 69.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (89th percentile) last year, D.K. Metcalf stands as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

D.K. Metcalf comes in as one of the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a remarkable 9.87 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are projected by the model to run only 62.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging just 54.6 plays per game.

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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