DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The model projects D.K. Metcalf to earn 8.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

This year, the tough Ravens defense has yielded a puny 140.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 8th-fewest in the league.
This year, the stout Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 6.3 yards.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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