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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The model projects D.K. Metcalf to garner 8.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • When talking about air yards, D.K. Metcalf grades out in the towering 96th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing an astounding 101.0 per game.
  • D.K. Metcalf's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 94th percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • D.K. Metcalf has been among the weakest wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
  • The Giants pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.5%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (64.5%).

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