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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • In this week's contest, D.K. Metcalf is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers with 7.4 targets.
  • When it comes to air yards, D.K. Metcalf grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a superb 104.0 per game.
  • D.K. Metcalf slots into the 87th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 62.3 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
  • The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.8%) vs. wideouts this year (62.8%).

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