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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The projections expect D.K. Metcalf to notch 7.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

After accruing 103.0 air yards per game last season, D.K. Metcalf has seen marked improvement this season, now sitting at 108.0 per game.

D.K. Metcalf ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 64.1 figure this year.

With a remarkable 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (91st percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

This year, the stout Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a mere 3.4 YAC.

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