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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 62.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

This week, D.K. Metcalf is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.

In regards to air yards, D.K. Metcalf grades out in the towering 94th percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a whopping 106.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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