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DK Metcalf
NFL · Player Props
DK Metcalf
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receiving Yards
Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC
NFL Props DK Metcalf Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to notch 9.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
  • DK Metcalf has compiled far more air yards this year (103.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • DK Metcalf's 68.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 96th percentile for WRs.
  • DK Metcalf has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 65.0 yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • DK Metcalf's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a mere 2.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.97 rate last year.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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